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What's next for Brexit after PM May's latest defeat?

13 March 2019

More lawmakers chose to get onboard on Tuesday and voted in favour of the deal than last January when it was defeated by a larger margin of 230.

It means the world's fifth largest economy could leave the European Union without a deal; there could be an extension to the March 29 divorce date which is enshrined in law; May could hold a snap election or try a third time to get her deal passed; or a another referendum on the issue is also possible. "Or does it want to leave with a deal but not this deal?"

With the deal all but dead, Parliament will probably vote to postpone Brexit later this week, and lawmakers - including some of May's own Cabinet - will likely try to maneuver to force the government to rip up its Brexit plans and start again.

Many fear that Brexit will divide the West as it grapples with both the unconventional USA presidency of Donald Trump and growing assertiveness from Russian Federation and China, leaving Britain economically weaker and with its security capabilities depleted.

It will say: 'This House declines to approve leaving the European Union without a Withdrawal Agreement and a framework on the future relationship on March 29, 2019 and notes that leaving without a deal remains the default in United Kingdom and EU law unless this House and the EU ratify an agreement'.

Brexit-supporting MPs in May's Conservative party, and her allies, Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), swiftly declared they would not support the deal.

Even if the deal is approved, Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay said there might need to be a "technical extension" so that all the needed laws can be passed. If "no deal" is off the table, 14 March will see British lawmakers vote for the delay of Brexit.

If we leave without a deal, we will set the majority of our import tariffs to zero, whilst maintaining tariffs for the most sensitive industries. In his legal advice on the revised deal, Cox said the risk of this has been reduced, but not eliminated.

The European Research Group of pro-Brexit Conservatives, which has dozens of lawmakers as members, said the amendments "do not deliver 'legally binding changes"' to the withdrawal agreement, as the government promised.

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"On the European Union side we have done all that is possible to reach an agreement".

If May's deal is defeated on Tuesday, the MPs will be back in the House of Commons on 13 March to decide whether they support a no-deal Brexit.

This option is likely to prove popular, since politicians on both sides of the Brexit debate fear time is running out to secure an orderly withdrawal by March 29.

'The EU27 will expect a credible justification for a possible extension and its duration. May's warning in a tweet, saying: "Today is our Hotel California moment".

"In politics, sometimes you get a second chance. If we don't check out tonight, we may never leave", tweeted Conservative legislator Bob Seely.

The preconditions for a general election might then arise if "the government finds itself being obliged by the House of Commons to pursue a policy direction that the [Conservative] party can no longer cohere around".

Regardless of how well you think she has done in the job, there is little doubting that May has done more or less all she can as prime minister.

"The attorney general has confirmed that there have been no significant changes to the withdrawal agreement despite the legal documents that were agreed last night", Labour Brexit spokesman Keir Starmer said.

What's next for Brexit after PM May's latest defeat?