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What Is A 'Fair' Price For Oil?

24 April 2018

The oil markets generally maintain their prices thanks to the restrictions introduced by OPEC earlier this year.

"It puts local grades under a lot of pressure", said a trader with a Mediterranean refiner, who regularly buys Russian and Caspian Sea crude, and has recently started purchasing the U.S. oil.

Russian Federation alligned with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) last year in cutting Crude Oil output jointly by 1.8-M BPD, a deal they say has largely re-balanced the market and helped raise benchmark Brent Crude prices to almost 4-year highs.

Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK said: "The rise in Brent crude prices through $75 a barrel along with a positive broker note on BP from Goldman has seen the oil and gas sector continue to lead the recent gains".

Of course one must note that it was OPEC's idea to try to flood the market to force USA shale producers out of business.

Now, the world is looking to shale to supply most of the production growth but as it is widely being reported, shale bottlenecks are now hampering output and US refiners want more heavy oil and less shale.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.4% to $75.03 a barrel on London's ICE Futures Exchange having earlier hit $75.27, the highest level since 2014.

Also supporting prices, energy information provider Genscape showed a decline in inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma storage hub for USA crude.

His comment came at the close of a meeting of members of the joint OPEC and non-OPEC ministerial monitoring committee in Saudi Arabia, who said they were happy to stick with a 2016 deal to limit global oil production. OPEC will meet in June to decide whether to extend the production-cut agreement.

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"U.S. oil is on offer everywhere", according to a trader with a Mediterranean refiner who regularly buys Russian and Caspian Sea crude and has recently began buying USA oil.

Oil has risen to its highest since late 2014 this month in part, too, because of nervousness over a decision President Trump must take on whether to restore USA economic sanctions on Iran.

“There are many things affecting the market, not just supply and demand, ” including geopolitics that are beyond OPEC's control, he said. “Oil prices are artificially Very High!

USA oil output is expected to hit 10.7 million bpd this year, rivaling that of top producers Russian Federation and Saudi Arabia. Looking at reactions in markets, crude oil prices strengthened following the EIA report. "No good and will not be accepted!"

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 3 cents at $68.37 a barrel.

Read:Trump isn't first president to rail about oil prices.

After reacting in fear, Flynn said the market recovered on conviction USA sanctions could dampen Iran's output, even if the nation produces above its OPEC quota.

The claim dragged both Brent and US WTI half a dollar down.

What Is A 'Fair' Price For Oil?